Fantasy Football Projections: Seattle Seahawks

Seattle Seahawks Helmet

Believe it or not, Russell Wilson has actually been in a somewhat steady decline over the past three seasons. Wilson’s yards per attempt has gone from 8.3 to 7.2, his completion percentage from 68% to 61% and his interception percentage from 1.7 to 2.0 in that span. What does that mean? Not a whole lot as Wilson still managed to finish as one of the top fantasy QB’s in the NFL in 2017 during his “down” year. A big part of that was his ability to find pay dirt a career-high 34 times despite failing to amass much yardage last season. Seattle’s offense overall was less than inspiring forcing Wilson to rattle off a career-high 553 passing attempts while scampering for his 2nd highest rushing total to date. However, Wilson made his completions count and the rushing yards were a fantasy boon as well. At age 30, there is some risk to his value as a runner but the arrival of first-round pick Rashaad Penny at running back should help take some pressure off of Wilson. The Seattle offensive line is still one of the shakiest units in the NFL but that hasn’t stopped the QB in the past. Wilson is a Top 5 fantasy starter who always seems to slip in drafts and can usually be had in the 5th round.

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As mentioned above, Penny is the new toy in town this season and quite the toy he is. The running back out of San Diego St was a prolific producer during his college career and deceptively adept in the passing game. Penny will likely get the first crack at every down duty but he’ll have to hold off one of last years deep sleepers in Chris Carson. Carson was a bit of a darling in the Seattle community as a 7th round draft pick that profiled as a workhorse back. He showed well when given the opportunity going for 93 yards on 20 carries in his first career start but injuries sidelined his breakout campaign. Seattle felt the need to invest heavily in the running back position and spent a first-round pick on Penny and teams don’t normally do that thinking they’ll bench him for a former 7th rounder. That said, Carson is a capable backup who provides much-needed depth and may siphon off a healthy chunk of carries. CJ Prosise is also lingering in the background hoping to avoid another injury-marred season and could carve out a role on passing downs. Penny is a RB2 with big upside, Carson is a key handcuff and Prosise is a wait-and-see waiver fodder guy for PPR leagues.

Doug Baldwin is your fantasy target in the Seattle passing game and he may be the only one. Baldwin has offered solid WR2 or better production each of the past three seasons and is easily Wilson’s most trusted target. Tyler Lockett, Brandon Marshall, Amara Darboh and Jaron Brown will vie for the other available targets. Brown and Lockett are the most likely to produce as big-play threats well suited for Wilson’s “scramble and huck it” offensive style. Lockett has failed to really take off with Wilson in his first three seasons, capping his ceiling a bit, while Brown also proved less than inspiring over his first five seasons with Arizona. Marshall and Darboh are fighting for a roster spot and the leftover work here. Draft Baldwin as a WR2, watch Lockett and Brown as possible breakout candidates and late round stash plays.

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Tight end isn’t all that much better for the Hawks with the loss of Jimmy Graham in free agency. Seattle has moved to a platoon of Ed Dickson and Nick Vannett to pick up the slack and while both are capable all-around tight ends, neither is a particularly exciting pass catcher. There isn’t much here for fantasy purposes, look elsewhere.

2018 Projections:

NAME POSITION CMP ATT PASS YD PASS TD INT RU YD RU TD
Russell Wilson QB 345 530 4075 30 11 450 3

 

NAME POSITION CARRIES RU YD RU TD REC  REC YD REC TD FUM
Rashaad Penny RB 280 1175 8 30 350 1 1
Chris Carson RB 95 405 2 10 105 1
CJ Prosise RB 40 260 1 30 365 2 1

 

NAME POSITION CARRIES RU YD RU TD REC  REC YD REC TD FUM
Doug Baldwin WR 85 1095 8
Jaron Brown WR 45 560 4
Ty Lockett WR 50 610 3
Brandon Marshall WR 25 265 1
Amara Darboh WR 20 230
Ed Dickson TE 15 155 2
Nick Vanett TE 15 145 2

 

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Ben Stecker

Ben Stecker

Author SportsTalkLine.com at SportsTalkLine
Writer, sports connoisseur, Pacific Northwesterner. Rarely met a sport I couldn't be great friends with. Follow me on twitter @Softball_Guy
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