Get ready to hear the talking heads rattle off the hot takes this week: “Brady is on his way out”, “This is the last ride for Belichick and company”, “The dynasty is in it’s twilight”. Certainly, Monday night’s game versus the Lions may very well have been the worst game in Tom Brady’s career, I know it’s the worst I can remember. It is also likely the worst game many Brady fantasy owners can remember. That was rock bottom, and possibly a signal that the greatest signal caller the NFL has ever seen is on his way out, maybe the game is forcing the Greatest to retire. What I see, however, is a buying opportunity. When a proven commodity is at it’s lowest value, that is exactly the time to strike a deal.
Certainly, I could spend this article telling you to buy every usable piece of this offense, and I will highlight a few below. A few more guys in this offense will rise sooner than later as the offense gets back on track – reinforcements in the form of Josh Gordon and Julian Edelman are on their way and will help lift this whole offense with them. But the picture is bigger than just the Patriots and this game. This is a universal trading truth applicable to the Patriots and to any proven fantasy asset – 99% of the time, the greats will return to form, it’s almost always worth it to bet on that fact.
Here are some great targets that fall into this category.
Rob Gronkowski, TE, Patriots
With the state of the New England offense over the last two weeks, Gronk has been a guy who has faced constant double teams – holding him to 66 yards and no scores. Gronk is still the premier tight end in the league and should be treated as such. As other weapons begin to integrate into the offense and have to be accounted for Rob will begin to eat again. Buy a healthy Gronk with a couple bad games under his belt at a discount and gain a huge positional advantage on your league mates.
Sony Michel, RB, Patriots
Sometimes you just need to see through the numbers and try to interpret what a team is doing. New England drafted Sony in the first round after the Georgia product’s outstanding senior season in which he produced over 1300 yards from scrimmage to go with 17 TD’s in a timeshare. Rumor is that Bill Belichick is a big fan of Saints coach Sean Peyton and wanted his own Alvin Kamara and saw Michel as that guy. The workload Michel is getting indicates that this may be the case. So far Sony has touched the ball 29 times including five targets. So far he has done little with those touches which keeps this buying window open. When the offense rights the ship and gets back on its customary track, so will Michel.
Allen Robinson, WR, Bears
The Bears offense presents a much different calculus than the Patriots in every way. Mitchell Trubiski will never be confused with Tom Brady. The Bears also have an established running back and a much better defense which will keep the team out of fantasy goodness that comes from shootouts. Additionally, the Bears brought in a lot of weapons to help out their second year QB which makes it difficult to guess which one will be productive week to week. The new targets have not helped Trubiski, as he has played like a bottom third QB thus far. Allen Robinson has emerged from this quagmire and is firmly established as the WR1. He has 28 targets in three weeks but has yet to have a truly explosive, week winning game. Also held without a TD so far, now is the time to steal this every week WR2 while his owners are ready to give up on the Bears offense.
Duke Johnson, RB, Browns
This guy’s value is so low right now that he may even be on waivers in some leagues. In dynasty leagues, he may be available for a 2nd or 3rd round rookie pick. His value has nowhere to go but up from here. Baker Mayfield is the tide that will raise all of the ships in Cleveland. This includes all of the primary weapons in Cleveland and the city itself. Baker is the new LeBron as the face of the city. He will fully utilize all of his weapons and this includes Duke, one of the best pass-catching backs in the league. As a guy who finished as a borderline number one RB in fantasy in 2017, now is the time to acquire this unique talent.
Dion Lewis, Aaron Jones, Mark Ingram!
Jamison Crowder, Chris Godwin