Hello fellow fantasy DFS players! Welcome to the portion of the week where we take a huge swig of Faderade. In this post, we will be running down the DFS players and positions to avoid this week.
I use DraftKings salary cap as my basis for picks, which operates on a 50k salary but I know we have many FanDuel players as well. For reference, Fanduel operates on a 60k salary, so prices will appear higher.
QB- Jared Goff vs. Sea @ $6,100
Goff’s last two games he has thrown 6 touchdowns and 1 INT. He has scored 33 and 26 points, respectively in his last two games. I know what you’re thinking… “He is not making his point to fade Jared Goff super well.” Wait for it. The last two teams he played were the Saints and Packers, not exactly defensive stalwarts. This week he faces the Seahawk defense, who are a far cry from the Legion of Boom but have been a pretty scrappy defense this season. In their first meeting this season, Goff tallied only 19 fantasy points, which while solid, is not worth the price tag. Gurley should get plenty of work on the ground, as he gashed the Hawks the last time these two teams met, but I don’t expect Goff (who is priced higher than Tom Brady this week) to justify his price tag.
RB- Adrian Peterson vs. TB @ $5,700
Listen, it was nice to see the old AP a couple weeks ago, but that was an outlier and not the norm. He doesn’t have a ton of tread left on the tires, although he is still a solid back. However, the biggest reason I feel you should fade AP this weekend is simply a game script. The Bucs can score quickly, and FitzMagic may throw 3 picks, but he also could toss 4 touchdowns and throw for 400 yards– or he could both of those things. The Redskins will need to be more vertical and up-tempo with their offense, and I don’t feel that bodes well for AP, who needs a lot of touch volume to get going and be truly effective. Pair that with a banged up offensive line, it spells trouble for the Washington run game.
WR- Tyreek Hill vs. Ari @$7,300
Listen, he uses the #cheetah on Twitter to describe himself, and he’s not wrong. Hill is a dangerous weapon over the top and can explode at any moment. This week though, at a hefty price tag of over 7K, I am fading him. He has scored just 10 and 12 points in his last two contests, which to some extent is simply the nature of his boom-or-bust style of play. Couple that, however, with his cornerback matchup this week in Patrick Peterson, and it seems like he is destined to have another subpar showing. I think the Chiefs have too many weapons to stop, but this week I see Kareem Hunt and Travis Kelce doing the bulk of the damage on offense while Hill is shadowed by Peterson.
TE- Rob Gronkowski vs. Ten @ $5,600
Gronk smash! Sadly, there have been far too few Gronk spikes this season.
He is still the second-highest-priced tight end on the slate this week, only due to the position being a crapshoot for the most part. But assuming he even is healthy enough to play, don’t overpay for Gronk. The last four games he has played in he has not eclipsed 100 yards OR scored a TD. Only one time in that four-game span he has caught more than four passes. Gronk’s health is a huge concern moving forward and until he can show us he is healthy, I am staying away and looking for a better bargain elsewhere.
“Too Rich for my Blood” Flex: Keenan Allen vs. Oak @ $7,100
This distinction is not that I don’t think Allen will not have a good game. This simply is that I am a cheapskate and don’t want to pony up the fake salary cap cash for him. It’s a great matchup with a bad Raiders team, but I think this one gets out of hand really quickly. Then it’s pounding the rock with Gordon and Ekeler to control the game. Additionally, Allen hasn’t gone over 100 yards since week 1 until last week’s 124-yard outburst. What’s equally concerning is that he has just one touchdown all year. With guys like Tyrell Williams catching deep bombs, Mike Williams getting red zone target jump balls for his 6’5″ frame to go get and for Melvin Gordon punching in short goal-line scores, it doesn’t leave a lot of end zone opportunities for Allen.
DEF- WAS vs. TB @ $3,000
The Redskins D had looked pretty good until Matty Ice and the Falcons came to town and gashed them for nearly 500 yards.
They scored zero fantasy points last week. Zilch. Nada. Goose egg. They scored 15 points back-to-back weeks, but that was against their fellow NFC East teams the Giants and Cowboys. Color me not impressed. They may be the recipient of a FitzTragic interception or two, but they are just as likely to give up another 500 yards and 30 points. Steer clear.
Best of luck to everyone and here’s to hoping your squad shows out — and you cash out.